US initial jobless claims rose to 199,000 in the week ended Oct 10, 2026
Weekly unemployment insurance claims, published by the Department of Labor.
Macro
19 independent reports
Rates, growth, inflation and policy read through their effect on the names we cover.
US consumer prices rose 0.6% in September 2026; annual rate 3.7%
Consumer price index for September 2026, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Treasury 20 Year Auction High Yield Reaches 5.42 Percent as Secondary Yields Climb
September auction clears 21.6 basis points higher while secondary market yields sit above 5.6 percent in October
US 30 year mortgage rate at 7.40%, highest since November 2023
A weekly reading from Freddie Mac (Primary Mortgage Market Survey), compared with the full history of the series.
Where the average US 30 year fixed mortgage rate stands versus its history
The average US 30 year fixed mortgage rate was 7.40% on Oct 15, 2026, in the upper third of its 12 month range. Updated when Freddie Mac (Primary Mortgage Market Survey) publishes a new reading.
Where the effective federal funds rate stands versus its history
The effective federal funds rate was 3.88% on Oct 16, 2026, in the middle third of its 12 month range. Updated when the Federal Reserve Bank of New York publishes a new reading.
Where the US 30 year Treasury yield stands versus its history
The US 30 year Treasury yield was 5.43% on Oct 16, 2026, in the upper third of its 12 month range. Updated when the US Treasury, via the Federal Reserve Board (H.15) publishes a new reading.
Where the US 2 year Treasury yield stands versus its history
The US 2 year Treasury yield was 4.74% on Oct 16, 2026, in the upper third of its 12 month range. Updated when the US Treasury, via the Federal Reserve Board (H.15) publishes a new reading.
Where the US 10 year Treasury yield stands versus its history
The US 10 year Treasury yield was 5.09% on Oct 16, 2026, in the upper third of its 12 month range. Updated when the US Treasury, via the Federal Reserve Board (H.15) publishes a new reading.
Treasury auction concessions indicate structural demand shifts rather than temporary market noise
Higher clearing yields and dealer absorption patterns signal structural repricing of sovereign duration.
Rising Treasury auction high yields signal persistent term premium expansion
Softening auction clearing prices and elevated secondary yields reflect structural supply absorption challenges for Treasury issuance.
Long duration Treasury auctions reflect structural term premium repricing rather than temporary clearing noise
Rising yields across recent 20 Year Treasury bond auctions signal that buyers demand higher structural compensation to absorb expanding federal debt issuances.
Treasury auction concessions signal persistent upward repricing across intermediate maturities
Higher yield clears and disciplined primary dealer absorption reveal structural supply pressures pushing benchmark rates higher.
Higher clearing yields signal structural concessions in front end Treasury auctions
Auction clearing mechanics reveal shifting buyer participation as yields climb across short maturities.
Long term Treasury yields are structurally repricing higher
A steepening yield curve and soft auction metrics signal that investors are demanding a permanent term premium for long duration debt.
Rising Treasury yields signal structural term premium repricing
A steep increase in the ten year auction yield reveals deeper fiscal premium demands that secondary markets are now validating.
Intermediate Treasury Demand Remains Intact Despite Rising Long End Yields
Strong bidding metrics and a lower high yield in the 7 Year Treasury note auction suggest institutional buyers are locking in intermediate duration yields.
Treasury Auction Clears Signal Structural Demand Fatigue
Rising clearing yields and declining bid metrics suggest structural supply is outstripping buyer depth.
Short duration Treasury yields are structurally cheapening as auction demand softens
The latest 2 Year note auction cleared at a higher yield with weak indirect participation, signaling a shift in the short end of the curve as buyers demand more premium to absorb the growing supply of government debt.